Science Learning Hub logo
TopicsConceptsCitizen scienceTeacher PLDGlossary
Sign in
Article

Astronomical cycles

Ice caps have come and gone over the Earth’s surface for many millions of years. What has caused the cyclical warming and cooling of our planet.

Diagram of Earth’s orbit Eccentricity.

Eccentricity half

See more

Eccentricity refers to whether the Earth’s orbit is more or less circular – it changes between the two over a period of 100,000 years. This shows eccentricity half.

Rights: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)Robert Simmon
Referencing Hub media

In the 1920s and 1930s, Milutin Milankovitch, a geophysicist, showed that the amount of heat received from the sun varied, and that this was related to cyclical changes in the Earth’s orbit. Further, this variation was linked to whether the Earth was in a glacial (colder) or interglacial (warmer) period.

Diagram showing Earth's Eccentricity zero orbit

Eccentricity zero

See more

Eccentricity refers to whether the Earth’s orbit is more or less circular – it changes between the two over a period of 100,000 years. This shows eccentricity zero.

Rights: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)Robert Simmon
Referencing Hub media

The changes in Earth’s orbit are due to changes in Earth’s eccentricity, axial tilt and precession:

  • Eccentricity refers to whether the Earth’s orbit is more or less circular – it changes between the two over a period of 100,000 years.

  • Earth does not spin absolutely upright, but is tilted on its axis – we call this axial tilt. The degree of tilt changes over about 41,000 years.

  • Precession means that the Earth wobbles on its axis, over a period of about 23,000 years.

Together, these three cycles affect the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth, influencing the climate and bringing about the advance and retreat of the polar icecaps.

Earth's axial tilt diagram.

Axial tilt

See more

Earth does not spin absolutely upright, but is tilted on its axis – this is called axial tilt. The degree of tilt changes over about 41,000 years.

Rights: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)Robert Simmon
Referencing Hub media

How does this work?

It happens when northern hemisphere summers are coolest (the Earth is farthest from the Sun due to precession and eccentricity) and winters are warmest (as a result of minimum axial tilt). This means that snow can accumulate across large areas of the northern land masses.

Snow has a lower albedo than vegetation and bare soil, so it reflects much more solar radiation back into space. This cools the climate, so that more snow will fall and also stay on the ground for longer. This is a positive feedback loop that results in growth of glaciers and icecaps in both the northern and southern hemispheres – and potentially the onset of a global glacial period.

Natural climate cycles versus anthropogenic climate change

The cyclical warming and cooling of our planet happens over millennia. This differs from anthropogenic climate change – the rapid, human-caused warming of the planet, primarily due to greenhouse gas emissions.

Nature of science

Science is based on and derived from observations of the world around us from which interpretations are made. Scientists depend on empirical evidence to produce scientific knowledge. Any scientific explanation must be consistent with empirical evidence, and new evidence brings the revision of scientific knowledge.

Useful links

Find out more about Milutin Milankovitch in this series of articles on the Earth Observatory website.

Unlocking the Ice House lesson plan.

Glossary

Published: 19 July 2007Updated: 23 October 2025
Referencing Hub articles

Explore related content

Sun with arrows showing heat energy hitting an Earth globe and being reflected back with a text explanation of the ice-albedo feedback.

Article

The heartbeat of Antarctica

Step out on the sea ice just outside New Zealand’s Scott Base with researchers studying the physics of its annual ...

Read more
Ice melt in Greenland and Antarctica predicted to bring more frequent extreme weather

Article

Ice melt in Greenland and Antarctica predicted to bring more frequent extreme weather

In late January 2019, parts of the United States shivered when the polar vortex (a band of strong winds that ...

Read more
Diagram showing what happens to incoming solar radiation.

Article

Antarctica and global climate change

A changing climate

Read more

See our newsletters here.

NewsEventsAboutContact usPrivacyCopyrightHelp

The Science Learning Hub Pokapū Akoranga Pūtaiao is funded through the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment's Science in Society Initiative.

Science Learning Hub Pokapū Akoranga Pūtaiao © 2007-2025 The University of Waikato Te Whare Wānanga o Waikato